Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3239
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3239 · ONT → LAS
departs 7:16 PM PT · arrives 8:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±5 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at ONT that day
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.28 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.