Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3249
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3249 · HOU → LGB
departs 5:46 PM CT · arrives 7:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at HOU that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.07 in
LGB (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.