Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3256
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3256 · PHX → PDX
departs 7:36 PM MT · arrives 9:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
78%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
35%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.64 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.