Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3261
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3261 · IND → MCO
departs 9:51 PM ET · arrives 12:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,233 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.