Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3264
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3264 · OKC → MCO
departs 5:01 PM CT · arrives 8:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
8%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.