Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3316
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3316 · MCO → MCI
departs 9:57 PM ET · arrives 11:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.