Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3321
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3321 · AUS → TPA
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 9:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.62 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.