Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3346
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3346 · PHX → STL
departs 7:47 PM MT · arrives 11:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 83%
Sat 10/31 44%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
75%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 1.44 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1.53333 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.