Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3389
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3389 · MCO → MSY
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 6:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
16%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.