WN 3435 · PHX → HOU

departs 11:49 AM MT · arrives 3:29 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8816Q (B38M), coming in as WN 3443 from PHX: landed 6:39 AM MT.

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from PHX are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at HOU that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.46 in

HOU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3435 · PHX → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?