Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3452
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3452 · IND → TPA
departs 9:06 PM ET · arrives 11:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±4 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,233 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.