Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3465 · PHX → OMA
departs 8:21 PM MT · arrives 12:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.64 in
OMA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,333 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.