Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3477
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3477 · PHX → SJC
departs 7:51 PM MT · arrives 8:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
78%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.64 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.