Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3495
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3495 · SRQ → MDW
departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.81 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.