Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3560
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3560 · SFO → SAN
departs 3:46 PM PT · arrives 5:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.