Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3621
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3621 · SAN → ABQ
departs 8:06 PM PT · arrives 11:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 27%
Wed 11/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±6 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
35%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.