Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3651
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3651 · MCO → MDW
departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,033 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.