Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3688
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3688 · RNO → LGB
departs 6:46 PM PT · arrives 8:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LGB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from RNO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
LGB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,933 ft Visibility 4.33333 mi Precip 0.09 in
LGB (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.