Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3722
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3722 · PIT → TPA
departs 9:01 PM ET · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 8,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.