Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3738
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3738 · IND → DEN
departs 7:22 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/31 37%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 37%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,133 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.