Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3750
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3750 · PHX → BNA
departs 1:56 PM MT · arrives 6:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 1.44 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.