Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3751
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3751 · LGB → RNO
departs 8:41 PM PT · arrives 10:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into RNO at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LGB that day
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.