Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3784
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3784 · SAN → SJC
departs 9:12 PM PT · arrives 10:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from SAN are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.