Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3792
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3792 · SJC → AUS
departs 7:54 PM PT · arrives 1:25 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 36%
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.