Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3812
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3812 · OAK → LAX
departs 5:41 PM PT · arrives 7:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.