Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3848 · TPA → ATL
departs 7:26 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.62 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.