Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3867
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3867 · MCO → IND
departs 9:32 PM ET · arrives 12:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,233 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.