Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3903
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3903 · SAN → MKE
departs 2:46 PM PT · arrives 8:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.44 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,867 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.