Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 3963 · OAK → ABQ
departs 8:16 PM PT · arrives 11:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.