Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3988
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 3988 · SNA → DEN
departs 5:37 PM PT · arrives 9:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 30%
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±9 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.34 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.