Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4376
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4376 · MSY → HOU
departs 8:36 PM CT · arrives 9:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at HOU that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.08 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.