Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4818
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4818 · BHM → DAL
departs 7:47 PM CT · arrives 9:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 34%
Thu 11/5 36%
Fri 11/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.