Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4824
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 4824 · CLE → BNA
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 10:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 19%
Thu 11/5 25%
Fri 11/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.