Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4888
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 4888 · DEN → BNA
departs 5:05 PM MT · arrives 8:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 42%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 46%
Fri 11/6 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.