Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 5126 · MCO → BNA
departs 5:25 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.