Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 546
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 546 · ABQ → SAN
departs 7:41 PM MT · arrives 8:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±15 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.41 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.