Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 546
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 546 · BNA → ABQ
departs 5:01 PM CT · arrives 7:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 40%
Wed 11/4 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±9 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
5pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.