Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 569 · BNA → HOU
departs 6:49 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 32%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.