Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 611
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 611 · MCO → BNA
departs 7:14 PM ET · arrives 8:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
19%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.54 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.