Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 636
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 636 · IND → MCO
departs 6:01 PM ET · arrives 8:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 0.04 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.