Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 662
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 662 · BNA → MSY
departs 7:20 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 25%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.58 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.