Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 749
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 749 · MCI → SAT
departs 6:51 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from MCI are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.