Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 753 · STL → BNA
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 7:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.14 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.