Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 849
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 849 · LAX → DAL
departs 2:04 PM PT · arrives 7:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 43%
Wed 11/4 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,167 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.