Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 873
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 873 · LAS → MCI
departs 7:41 PM PT · arrives 12:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.