Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 874
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 874 · LAS → DAL
departs 5:48 PM PT · arrives 10:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 27%
Wed 11/4 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±3 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.