Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 875
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 875 · BUR → LAS
departs 6:56 PM PT · arrives 8:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 25%
Thu 11/5 44%
Fri 11/6 54%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.