Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 889
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 889 · BUR → OAK
departs 7:20 PM PT · arrives 8:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.19 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.