Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 901
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 901 · PHX → TUS
departs 10:51 PM MT · arrives 11:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
73%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
73%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
30%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.80 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.