Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 915
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 915 · ABQ → AUS
departs 9:11 PM MT · arrives 12:06 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±8 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.45 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.